Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 35.72%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.