Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.