Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
