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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Le Havre

Lorient
3 - 3
Le Havre

Louza (33'), Kari (51'), Bamba (90+2')
Katseris (17'), Le Bris (36'), Ponceau (42'), Louza (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sabbi (15' pen.), Ayew (85', 90+4')
Youte Kinkoue (26'), Sabbi (43'), Kechta (48'), Operi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chateauroux 0-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lorient 1-2 Le Havre

Lorient have been shipping goals of late, and we can imagine that trend continuing against a Le Havre side who are full of confidence following three-straight victories. The visitors will be fancying their chances of extending their winning streak to four matches on Sunday, and we reckon that Elsner's side will do just that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawLe Havre
33.09% (0.17400000000001 0.17) 26.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 40.62% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)51.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.59% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.099999999999994 0.1)29.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.123 0.12)65.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)25.14% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.158 -0.16)59.85% (0.153 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 33.09%
    Le Havre 40.61%
    Draw 26.28%
LorientDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.61%

How you voted: Lorient vs Le Havre

Lorient
19.3%
Draw
21.1%
Le Havre
59.6%
57
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Le Havre
3-0
Lorient
Kuzyaev (53'), Alioui (70'), Mbemba (90+6')
Mar 16, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 11
Le Havre
2-2
Lorient
Kadewere (45' pen.), Thiare (83')
Fontaine (31'), Mayembo (53'), Bonnet (77'), Dina (77')
Bozok (1'), Hamel (33')
Laporte (28'), Le Fee (38'), Hamel (91')
May 17, 2019 7.45pm
Le Havre
2-3
Lorient
Bese (37'), Ferhat (73')
Hamel (16'), Kamissoko (45'), Wissa (74')
Claude Maurice (69')
May 16, 2019
1am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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