Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.