Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.