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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 14, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 0
Necaxa

Beltran (24'), Brigido (84')
Mozo (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Batista (45'), Gonzalez (60'), Rodriguez (75')
Dudamel (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Necaxa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, July 9 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa

 Necaxa have been resilient in their first two games of the new season, but Friday presents a much trickier test, and we see this confident Guadalajara side making it three wins on the bounce on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for CD Guadalajara.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
54.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 20.05% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 45.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.27% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)20.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79%79.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 54.73%
    Necaxa 20.05%
    Draw 25.21%
CD GuadalajaraDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 20.05%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Necaxa

CD Guadalajara
90.3%
Draw
9.7%
Necaxa
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 14
Guadalajara
1-0
Necaxa
Aug 20, 2022 1am
Gameweek 10
Necaxa
0-4
Guadalajara
Apr 30, 2022 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
0-1
Guadalajara

Madrigal (34'), Gimenez (60'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Ponce (89')
Perez Bouquet (4')
Aug 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Necaxa
Brizuela (43'), Zaldivar (90+12' pen.)
Vega (23'), Molina (47'), Mayorga (89')
Arcadio Garcia Banuelos (54')
Oliveros (90+8'), Meza (90+10')
Feb 14, 2021 1am
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
2-2
Necaxa
Dominguez (66'), Gonzalez (74'), Barragan (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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