Liga MX | Gameweek 10

Aug 20, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Victoria

Necaxa
0 - 4
Guadalajara

Esquivel (2'), Pena (67')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zaldivar (30', 69' pen.), Alvarado (33'), Beltran (53')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	CD Guadalajara
37.17% ( -1.38)	28.95% ( -0.11)	33.88% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 44.92% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.28% (

0.54)

61.72% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.47% (

0.4)

81.53% (

-0.4)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11% (

-0.58)

31.88% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67% (

-0.66)

68.33% (

0.67)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

1.34)

34.04% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

1.42)

70.73% (

-1.41)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 37.16%

CD Guadalajara 33.88%

Draw 28.94%

Necaxa	Draw	CD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.16%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.94%	0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.88%