A Zorya victory would be a game-changer in the group, as it would put them back into the ascendancy in second, and they did enough to suggest they can claim a result in the reverse, despite losing 3-1. Without familiar home comforts, it is unclear how Maccabi will respond as many of their Israeli representatives struggled over the last week on the international stage, and this is set to be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
68.92% ( 0.15)	18.23% ( -0.06)	12.85% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.66% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.23% (

0.11)

39.77% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88% (

0.11)

62.12% (

-0.11)

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.52% (

0.07)

10.48% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.88% (

0.15)

34.12% (

-0.15)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.71% (

-0.05)

42.29% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.32% (

-0.05)

78.68% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv 68.91%

Zorya Luhansk 12.85%

Draw 18.23%

Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
2-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.35% Total : 68.91%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.23%	0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.85%