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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Roma logo

Frosinone
0 - 3
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
Huijsen (38'), Azmoun (71'), Paredes (81' pen.)
Huijsen (39'), Mancini (66'), Azmoun (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Frosinone
Sunday, February 11 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Roma
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Frosinone 1-2 Roma

Roma may not have things all their own way - Frosinone are tough to beat on home turf and have scored half of their Serie A goals via set-pieces - but the visitors should still have the guile to prevail at Stadio Stirpe. A fresh approach under new management has certainly raised hopes of improving the Giallorossi's dismal away record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawRoma
25.97% (0.207 0.21) 25.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 48.3% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)52.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (0.077999999999999 0.08)74.49% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.22300000000001 0.22)35.33% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.23 0.23)72.09% (-0.229 -0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)21.9% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)55.16% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 25.97%
    Roma 48.3%
    Draw 25.72%
FrosinoneDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.19% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.3%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Roma

Frosinone
10.8%
Draw
11.7%
Roma
77.5%
120
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
2-0
Frosinone
Lukaku (21'), Pellegrini (83')
Karsdorp (64')

Barrenechea (46'), Soule (81')
Feb 23, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Frosinone
2-3
Roma
Ciano (5'), Pinamonti (80')
Goldaniga (68'), Cassata (78')
Dzeko (30', 90'), Pellegrini (31')
El Shaarawy (39'), Dzeko (42')
Sep 26, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 6
Roma
4-0
Frosinone
Under (2'), Pastore (28'), El Shaarawy (35'), Kolarov (87')

Campbell (90')
Jan 30, 2016 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Frosinone
Nainggolan (18'), El Shaarawy (48'), Pjanic (84')
Manolas (41')
Ciofani (24')
Ajeti (15'), Dionisi (64')
Sep 12, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
0-2
Roma

Diakite (40'), Pavlovic (65'), Rosi (76'), Leali (94')
Falque (44'), Iturbe (93')
Falque (27'), Totti (38'), De Rossi (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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