Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
25.97% ( 0.21) | 25.73% ( 0.01) | 48.3% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% ( 0.09) | 52.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.51% ( 0.08) | 74.49% ( -0.08) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% ( 0.22) | 35.33% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% ( 0.23) | 72.09% ( -0.23) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( -0.06) | 21.9% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( -0.09) | 55.16% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |