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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Como

Zappacosta (18'), Lookman (90+9' pen.)
de Roon (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Espeto (46'), Kolasinac (54' og.), Fadera (58')
Roberto (11'), Moreno (36'), Van Der Brempt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Arsenal
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Como

Even if Atalanta decide to rotate their squad after a busy start to the season, they have too much quality and top-flight know-how for a Como side that has shown few signs of adapting to the demands of Serie A. In a third consecutive home game following the renovation of their stadium, La Dea should serenely secure maximum points and build on a fine performance against Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawComo
50.11% (-2.669 -2.67) 24.9% (0.477 0.48) 24.98% (2.196 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.94 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.27% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-1.046 -1.05)20.09% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-1.707 -1.71)52.34% (1.711 1.71)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (2.006 2.01)34.78% (-2.002 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (2.059 2.06)71.51% (-2.057 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 50.11%
    Como 24.98%
    Draw 24.9%
Atalanta BCDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.511 -0.51)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.201 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.375 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Como

Atalanta BC
92.6%
Draw
6.2%
Como
1.2%
337
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
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Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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