Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
55.06% ( 2.18) | 22.59% ( -0.95) | 22.34% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( 1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% ( 2.88) | 43.03% ( -2.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% ( 2.79) | 65.43% ( -2.79) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% ( 1.8) | 15.52% ( -1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.56% ( 3.25) | 44.44% ( -3.26) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( 0.5) | 33.1% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% ( 0.54) | 69.7% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.63) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.19) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.68) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
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