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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
23.33% ( 0.03) | 23.21% ( -0) | 53.45% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( 0.03) | 44.69% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( 0.03) | 67.06% ( -0.03) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( 0.04) | 33.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( 0.05) | 69.74% ( -0.05) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% ( 0) | 16.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.46% ( 0) | 46.55% |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.33% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |