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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
23.33% ( 0.03) | 23.21% ( -0) | 53.45% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( 0.03) | 44.69% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( 0.03) | 67.06% ( -0.03) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( 0.04) | 33.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( 0.05) | 69.74% ( -0.05) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.33% ( 0) | 16.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.46% ( 0) | 46.55% |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.33% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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