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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
54.76% ( -0.47) | 23.49% ( 0.1) | 21.74% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( 0.02) | 47.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% ( 0.01) | 69.84% ( -0.02) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( -0.16) | 17.27% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.39% ( -0.29) | 47.6% ( 0.29) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.75% ( 0.37) | 36.25% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( 0.38) | 73.03% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |