League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Gillingham2 - 0Hartlepool
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Hartlepool United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-3 Stoke
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Hartlepool United |
44.65% ( -0.14) | 27.2% ( -0.02) | 28.15% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( 0.16) | 57.13% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( 0.13) | 78% ( -0.12) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0) | 25.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.7% | 60.3% ( 0) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( 0.22) | 35.84% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.23) | 72.61% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Gillingham 44.65%
Hartlepool United 28.15%
Draw 27.2%
| Gillingham | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 28.15% |
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Nov 21, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Hartlepool
3-4
Gillingham
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Form Guide
