League One

League One | 1st Leg

May 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Adams Park

Wycombe
2 - 0
MK Dons

(Wycombe Wanderers win 2-1 on aggregate)

Tafazolli (38'), Vokes (82')
Gape (31'), Jacobson (60'), Horgan (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McEachran (64')
McEachran (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Sunderland	46	26	84
6	Wycombe Wanderers	46	24	83
7	Plymouth Argyle	46	20	80

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Wycombe
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 MK Dons

Given the length of Wycombe's unbeaten streak, this feels like a well-matched contest and one which is difficult to call. However, regardless of the recent disappointment, accumulating 89 points is a phenomenal total, and it is a statistic which leads to us predicting an away win for MK Dons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	MK Dons
39.06%	26.37%	34.57%

Both teams to score 52.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.09%

51.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34%

73.66%

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98%

26.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96%

61.04%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37%

28.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57%

64.43%

Score Analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 39.05%

MK Dons 34.57%

Draw 26.37%

Wycombe Wanderers	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.57%