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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Burton Albion

Stevenage
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Burton Albion

Stevenage's need to earn three points on Saturday is extremely high, and the Boro should be confident of picking up a maximum versus an out-of-form Burton side. The Brewers will be happy to play away from the Pirelli Stadium on the weekend, however we are not expecting a change in fortunes for the visitors in terms of the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
53.15% (-0.354 -0.35) 25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 20.88% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (0.143 0.14)57.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (0.112 0.11)78.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)21.92% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.138 -0.14)55.18% (0.137 0.14)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (0.416 0.42)43.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (0.348 0.35)79.3% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 53.15%
    Burton Albion 20.89%
    Draw 25.96%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 14.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Stevenage
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Burton Albion
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Burton Albion
Laird (34' pen.), Holroyd (58')
Roberts (24'), Holroyd (30'), Laird (74'), Bostwick (80')
Foster (70')
Webster (48')
Walker (27'), Stanton (30'), Bolder (30'), Harrad (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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