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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Burton Albion |
53.15% ( -0.35) | 25.96% ( 0.04) | 20.88% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 44.5% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.02% ( 0.14) | 57.97% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.33% ( 0.11) | 78.67% ( -0.11) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( -0.09) | 21.92% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% ( -0.14) | 55.18% ( 0.14) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.99% ( 0.42) | 43.01% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.7% ( 0.35) | 79.3% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |