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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Burton Albion

Stevenage
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Burton Albion

Stevenage's need to earn three points on Saturday is extremely high, and the Boro should be confident of picking up a maximum versus an out-of-form Burton side. The Brewers will be happy to play away from the Pirelli Stadium on the weekend, however we are not expecting a change in fortunes for the visitors in terms of the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
53.15% (-0.354 -0.35) 25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 20.88% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (0.143 0.14)57.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (0.112 0.11)78.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)21.92% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.138 -0.14)55.18% (0.137 0.14)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (0.416 0.42)43.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (0.348 0.35)79.3% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 53.15%
    Burton Albion 20.89%
    Draw 25.96%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 14.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Stevenage
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Burton Albion
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Burton Albion
Laird (34' pen.), Holroyd (58')
Roberts (24'), Holroyd (30'), Laird (74'), Bostwick (80')
Foster (70')
Webster (48')
Walker (27'), Stanton (30'), Bolder (30'), Harrad (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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