League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Dec 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
0 - 1
MK Dons

Pratley (35'), Gilbey (60'), Maddison (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fraser (75')
Sorinola (35'), Lewington (70')

Lee Bowyer calls for Charlton Athletic fans to be "more positive"

The Addicks slipped to a 1-0 defeat to MK Dons.

Dec 2, 23:48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	MK Dons
32.5%	27.43%	40.07%

Both teams to score 49.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.52%

56.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52%

77.47%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73%

32.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.23%

68.76%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41%

27.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88%

63.11%

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 32.49%

MK Dons 40.06%

Draw 27.42%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.49%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.06%