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League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion

Cambridge
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cousins (84')
Bennett (39'), Andrew (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (5'), Watt (23'), Bodin (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Wycombe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Burton Albion

 Cambridge will have a renewed sense of belief after recording back-to-back victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum by claiming a narrow home victory to condemn their relegation rivals to a seventh consecutive league defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
41.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (0.012 0.01)52.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.38% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.03% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 41.64%
    Burton Albion 31.92%
    Draw 26.43%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Burton Albion

Cambridge United
50.0%
Draw
38.9%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Cambridge
0-0
Burton Albion
Harris (21'), Morrison (45+1'), Andrew (56'), Taylor (90+4'), Lankester (90+10')
Moon (20'), Seddon (64'), Oshilaja (69'), Carayol (74'), Bennett (87'), Crocombe (90+7')
Seddon (64')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge
Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
Okenabirhie (67')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
1-0
Cambridge
Helm (28')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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