Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.