Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.