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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2022 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasimpasa
4 - 0
Adana Demirspor

Haspolat (11'), Muleka (45+1', 63'), Bozok (73' pen.)
Hadergjonaj (23')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rassoul (30')
Balotelli (45+3')

Preview: Kasimpasa vs. Adana Demirspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Adana Demirspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Kasimpasa will be aiming to clinch a third consecutive home victory when they play host to Adana Demirspor in the Super Lig on Sunday.

The visitors, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last three matches, and they will be looking to claim back-to-back victories.


Match preview

Kasimpasa have the chance to return to winning ways this weekend after a run of four consecutive victories was ended by Fatih Karagumruk last Saturday.

Adnan Ugur and Aleksandar Pesic gave Fatih Karagumruk a two-goal lead at half time before Tarkan Serbest halved the deficit in the 67th minute.

The two-goal cushion was restored moments later courtesy of Kristijan Bistrovic, and though Jackson Muleka grabbed a goal eight minutes from time, Kasimpasa were unable to salvage a point as they fell to a 3-2 defeat.

As a result of that defeat, Sunday's hosts occupy 13th position, and their aim for the rest of the campaign will be to better last term's finish, where they ended up in 14th place.

Kasimpasa know that the fifth-highest scorers in the league will pose a threat on Sunday, but with one of their six clean sheets this season coming against Adana Demirspor in the reverse fixture, the hosts will believe that they have the capabilities to nullify the threat that the visitors's possess.

Meanwhile, Adana Demirspor are currently embroiled in an almighty battle to qualify for Europe, with Sunday's visitors just a point adrift of the top four.

After losing consecutive games towards the start of March, Adana Demirspor responded in positive fashion by claiming a 2-1 victory over Istanbul Basaksehir.

A goalless draw away to Hatayspor followed before Vincenzo Montella's side beat Altay 3-1 last weekend thanks to goals from Younes Belhanda, Samet Akaydin and Mario Balotelli, who struck from the spot to register his 12th league goal of the season.

Montella will now challenge his players to extend their unbeaten to four matches, as they look to keep pace with the top four.

Although the Adana Demirspor boss will be slightly concerned that his side have failed to score in their last two away matches.

Kasimpasa Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Adana Demirspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

The hosts are expected to bring Haris Hajradinovic into the side following the midfielder's one-match suspension.

Uros Spajic has started the last three matches for Kasimpasa, and he will keep his place in the centre of defence alongside Serbest.

Muleka enters the contest in scintillating form after scoring in each of the last three matches, and he will be aiming to improve upon his seven-goal league tally for the season on Sunday.

As for the visitors, they could be without Birkir Bjarnason for consecutive games after the Iceland international missed last weekend's encounter due to an injury issue.

After coming off the bench to dispatch his spot kick against Altay, Balotelli could return to the starting lineup for Sunday's contest.

Belhanda will also feature from the first whistle after coming into the starting XI to score in the 3-1 victory over Altay.

Kasimpasa possible starting lineup:
Taskiran; Hadergjonaj, Spajc, Serbest, Ben Ouanes; Fall, Haspolat, Hajradinovic, Engin; Bozok, Muleka

Adana Demirspor possible starting lineup:
Muric; Svensson, Akaydin, Sanuc, Rassoul; Inler, Stambouli; Akgun, Belhanda, Akintola; Balotelli


SM words green background

We say: Kasimpasa 1-2 Adana Demirspor

Kasimpasa will be looking for a positive response after their winning run was ended by Fatih Karagumruk, but we think that they will fall short when they face an Adana Demirspor side that currently hold the fourth best away record in the Super Lig.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Adana Demirspor

Kasimpasa
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Adana Demirspor
72.7%
11
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