Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shimizu S-Pulse.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Last Game: Reysol 3-1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League
Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League
Next Game: Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
| 15 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | -19 | 41 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 50.1% | 26.06% | 23.85% |
| Both teams to score 47.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
