Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.