International Friendly
Sep 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
South Africa4 - 0Sierra Leone
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between South Africa and Sierra Leone.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Sunday, July 17 at 9am in COSAFA Cup
Sunday, July 17 at 9am in COSAFA Cup
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Guinea-Bissau
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
Result | ||
South Africa | Draw | Sierra Leone |
45.75% ( 0.16) | 29.93% ( -0.04) | 24.33% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 38.43% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.38% ( 0.04) | 67.62% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.32% ( 0.03) | 85.68% ( -0.03) |
South Africa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% ( 0.1) | 29.9% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% ( 0.13) | 66% ( -0.13) |
Sierra Leone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.83% ( -0.1) | 45.17% ( 0.1) |