MX23RW : Friday, June 14 00:32:45| >> :60:144:144:
Brazil national football team
International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Tunisia national football team

Brazil
5 - 1
Tunisia

Raphinha (11', 40'), Richarlison (19'), Neymar (29' pen.), Pedro (74')
Neymar (21'), Richarlison (44')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Talbi (18')
Jaziri (20'), Laidouni (27'), Msakni (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Brazil and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's international friendly match against Tunisia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 3-0 Ghana
Friday, September 23 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42
All competitions
Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Brazil 2-0 Tunisia

Given Tunisia's formidable run of seven successive clean sheets, Brazil may have to work much harder to break the deadlock in Paris. However, their array of attacking talent surely means it will only be a matter of time before they do so, perhaps with a decisive second coming later in the match once Tunisia gradually break out of their shape in search of an equaliser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawTunisia
68.83% (-0.94600000000001 -0.95) 20.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 10.49% (0.9981 1)
Both teams to score 36.94% (3.187 3.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (2.435 2.44)55.59% (-2.435 -2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (1.954 1.95)76.76% (-1.952 -1.95)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (0.50999999999999 0.51)15.25% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.07% (0.949 0.95)43.93% (-0.947 -0.95)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.59% (3.519 3.52)56.41% (-3.518 -3.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.29% (1.908 1.91)88.71% (-1.907 -1.91)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 68.82%
    Tunisia 10.49%
    Draw 20.68%
BrazilDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 16.17% (-1.28 -1.28)
2-0 @ 15.21% (-0.91 -0.91)
3-0 @ 9.54% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.454 0.45)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.375 0.38)
4-0 @ 4.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.218 0.22)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.261 0.26)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 68.82%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.327 0.33)
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.841 -0.84)
2-2 @ 2.49% (0.38 0.38)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.68%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.65% (0.364 0.36)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.172 0.17)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 10.49%

How you voted: Brazil vs Tunisia

Brazil
68.9%
Draw
7.0%
Tunisia
24.1%
228
rhs 2.0
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