Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.