Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.28%) and 1-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (13.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.