We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Stoke City
Both sides have been impressive during pre-season thus far, and we are expecting a close match on Tuesday in terms of the scoreline. Stoke, however, should be able to navigate their way to a win in their third friendly of the summer.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.