MX23RW : Wednesday, October 16 12:21:37| >> :120:52824:52824:
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Manadon Sports Hub

Plymouth P
0 - 4
Worthing

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fall (31', 65'), Spong (49'), Cook (89')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Plymouth Parkway and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sittingbourne 0-3 Plymouth P
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Welling United
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Plymouth Parkway had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.93%). The likeliest Plymouth Parkway win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ParkwayDrawWorthing
22.44% (0.885 0.89) 20.23% (0.372 0.37) 57.33% (-1.258 -1.26)
Both teams to score 65.24% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.34% (-0.661 -0.66)31.65% (0.66 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.83% (-0.778 -0.78)53.16% (0.778 0.78)
Plymouth Parkway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.34100000000001 0.34)26.62% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (0.448 0.45)61.85% (-0.45 -0.45)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.91% (-0.53 -0.53)11.08% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.53% (-1.18 -1.18)35.46% (1.179 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Parkway 22.44%
    Worthing 57.33%
    Draw 20.23%
Plymouth ParkwayDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 5.68% (0.187 0.19)
1-0 @ 3.91% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.58% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.14% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22.44%
1-1 @ 8.59% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.95% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.23%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.93% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 4.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.81% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 2.88% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-4 @ 2.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 57.33%

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