UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK

Hietalahti

VPS
vs.
Zalgiris

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vaasan Palloseura and FK Zalgiris.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Turku 3-1 VPS
Friday, June 28 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Next Game: VPS vs. EIF
Saturday, July 6 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

FK Zalgiris

All competitions

Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	HJK Helsinki	28	1.87	Plange
2	Ilves	27	1.93	Haarala
3	KuPS	24	1.71	Pennanen
4	SJK	24	1.71	Moreno
5	VPS	23	1.64	Borchers
6	Haka	19	1.46	Patoulidis
7	Oulu	19	1.46	Coffey
8	Gnistan	18	1.29	Latonen
9	Inter Turku	18	1.29	Botue
10	Mariehamn	16	1.23	Larsson
11	EIF	13	1.00	Kaufmann
12	Lahti	13	1.00	Ivanovic

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 33.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result
Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	FK Zalgiris
33.72% ( 1.73)	24.71% ( -0.06)	41.56% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 58.24% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

0.81)

44.81% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

0.78)

67.17% (

-0.78)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

1.45)

25.73% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.34% (

1.93)

60.66% (

-1.94)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

-0.43)

21.58% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

-0.66)

54.68% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 33.72%

FK Zalgiris 41.56%

Draw 24.71%

Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	FK Zalgiris
2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.72%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.56%