Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Magpies2 - 1Crusaders
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Coleraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Crusaders | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Dungannon Swifts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Magpies win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magpies | Draw | Crusaders |
29.48% ( 0.08) | 23.88% ( 0.05) | 46.64% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.18% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
