Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Noah win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Noah win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Noah would win this match.