MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:15:16| >> :60:2679:2679:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ecolog Arena

Shkendija
1 - 0
Haverfordwest

Shala (47')
Redzhepi (18'), Qaka (41'), Adili (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shkendija and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Shkendija 1-1 AIK (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shkendija in this match.

Result
ShkendijaDrawHaverfordwest County
54.02% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 23.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 22.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)49.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)71.12% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)18.07% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.98% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.72% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Shkendija 54.01%
    Haverfordwest County 22.07%
    Draw 23.91%
ShkendijaDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.07%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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