Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kairat win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for FC Noah had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kairat win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a FC Noah win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kairat would win this match.