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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Cambuur |
33.37% | 23.8% | 42.82% |
Both teams to score 61.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% | 40.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% | 62.98% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% | 23.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% | 58.15% |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.75% | 19.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.04% | 50.96% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.3% Total : 42.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |