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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
20.89% | 21.85% | 57.26% |
Both teams to score 56.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.51% | 41.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% | 63.88% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% | 33.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% | 70.22% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% | 14.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.93% | 42.07% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.56% 1-0 @ 5.23% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.22% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.41% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 6.43% 0-3 @ 5.89% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 3.13% 0-4 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |