Tromso are on a significantly better run of results heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing in front of their fans makes them favourites to come out on top here. While we expect Stabaek to put up a decent fight, we are backing the hosts to emerge triumphant come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tromso IL in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tromso IL.

Result
Tromso IL	Draw	Stabaek Football
50.44% ( -0.66)	24.1% ( 0.16)	25.45% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

-0.3)

46.59% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

-0.28)

68.86% (

0.28)

Tromso IL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-0.37)

18.5% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27% (

-0.63)

49.72% (

0.63)

Stabaek Football Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

0.24)

32.37% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

0.28)

68.88% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Tromso IL 50.43%

Stabaek Football 25.45%

Draw 24.1%

Tromso IL	Draw	Stabaek Football
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.43%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.45%