Aalesund are certainly better than they have shown in the early stages of the season, but it is difficult to back them to pick up a result against an in-form Tromso outfit. The visitors have been very impressive in recent weeks and should have too much quality for their opponents in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Aalesund	Draw	Tromso IL
20.41% ( -5.7)	25.07% ( -0.31)	54.51% ( 6.02)

Both teams to score 46.26% (

-5.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

-3.92)

55.31% (

3.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-3.32)

76.53% (

3.32)

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03% (

-7.57)

41.97% (

7.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59% (

-7.3)

78.41% (

7.3)

Tromso IL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

0.93)

20.28% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

1.46)

52.63% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Aalesund 20.41%

Tromso IL 54.51%

Draw 25.07%

Aalesund	Draw	Tromso IL
1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -1.32) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.95) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.6) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.55) Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.41%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 1.22) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.91) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 13.58% ( 2.27) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 2.06) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( 1.23) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.41) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.51%