Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Mjondalen had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Mjondalen win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sandefjord in this match.