Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	MVV Maastricht
39.9% ( -0.26)	25.16% ( -0.07)	34.94% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 56.99% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.44% (

0.39)

46.56% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

0.37)

68.83% (

-0.37)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

0.04)

23.15% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

0.06)

57.03% (

-0.07)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

0.38)

25.84% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

0.52)

60.8% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 39.9%

MVV Maastricht 34.94%

Draw 25.15%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	MVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 34.94%