Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oss win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oss would win this match.