Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.