Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 58.87%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.15% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.