Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.