Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
