Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg

Jul 20, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Banco del Pacifico

Emelec
0 - 0
Cristal

(Emelec win 1-0 on aggregate)

Valencia (88')

Yotun (21'), Nunes (22'), Ignacio (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 32 clash between Emelec and Sporting Cristal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

Last Game: Cristal 0-1 Emelec
Thursday, July 13 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Sporting Cristal

Last Game: Cristal 0-1 Emelec
Thursday, July 13 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Emelec	Draw	Sporting Cristal
55.24% ( -0.15)	24.74% ( 0.01)	20.02% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 46.61% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

0.15)

54.55% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

0.12)

75.9% (

-0.12)

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31% (

-0)

19.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.31% (

-0)

51.69% (

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.04% (

0.24)

41.96% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.6% (

0.21)

78.4% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Emelec 55.22%

Sporting Cristal 20.02%

Draw 24.74%

Emelec	Draw	Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.02%