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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Final
Apr 6, 2024 at 9pm UK
San Mames Barria
Mallorca logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Mallorca

Sancet (50')
Paredes (27')
FT
(aet)
Rodriguez (21')
Muriqi (90+1'), Radonjic (119'), Gonzalez (126')
Athletic Bilbao win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Athletic Bilbao win the Copa del Rey for the 24th time in their history courtesy of a penalty-shootout victory over fellow La Liga outfit Mallorca in Saturday night's final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
61.68% (0.127 0.13) 22.66% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)52.78% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-0.084 -0.08)74.41% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)16.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.75% (-0.207 -0.21)46.25% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.09% (-0.159 -0.16)81.91% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 61.68%
    Mallorca 15.66%
    Draw 22.66%
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.39% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 61.68%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.66%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao
87.5%
Draw
8.0%
Mallorca
4.5%
88
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Mallorca
Berchiche (3', 16'), Guruzeta (62'), Muniain (89')

Larin (75')
Sep 3, 2023 3.15pm
May 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 32
Mallorca
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Kang-in (58')
Williams (90+6' pen.)
Aug 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Mallorca
Copete (22'), Battaglia (31'), Rodriguez (35'), Sanchez (66'), Kang-in (72'), Grenier (76')
Feb 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Mallorca
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Sevilla (22' pen.), Rodriguez (30'), Simon (88' og.)
Olivan (12'), Rodriguez (73'), Reina (75'), Raillo (80'), Kubo (88'), Muriqi (89')
Garcia (59'), Berenguer (61')
Zarraga (52'), Muniain (57'), Berchiche (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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