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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Final
Apr 6, 2024 at 9pm UK
San Mames Barria
Mallorca logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Mallorca

Sancet (50')
Paredes (27')
FT
(aet)
Rodriguez (21')
Muriqi (90+1'), Radonjic (119'), Gonzalez (126')
Athletic Bilbao win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Athletic Bilbao win the Copa del Rey for the 24th time in their history courtesy of a penalty-shootout victory over fellow La Liga outfit Mallorca in Saturday night's final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
61.68% (0.127 0.13) 22.66% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)52.78% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-0.084 -0.08)74.41% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)16.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.75% (-0.207 -0.21)46.25% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.09% (-0.159 -0.16)81.91% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 61.68%
    Mallorca 15.66%
    Draw 22.66%
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.39% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 61.68%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.66%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao
87.5%
Draw
8.0%
Mallorca
4.5%
88
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Mallorca
Berchiche (3', 16'), Guruzeta (62'), Muniain (89')

Larin (75')
Sep 3, 2023 3.15pm
May 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 32
Mallorca
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Kang-in (58')
Williams (90+6' pen.)
Aug 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Mallorca
Copete (22'), Battaglia (31'), Rodriguez (35'), Sanchez (66'), Kang-in (72'), Grenier (76')
Feb 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Mallorca
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Sevilla (22' pen.), Rodriguez (30'), Simon (88' og.)
Olivan (12'), Rodriguez (73'), Reina (75'), Raillo (80'), Kubo (88'), Muriqi (89')
Garcia (59'), Berenguer (61')
Zarraga (52'), Muniain (57'), Berchiche (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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