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Club World Cup
Club World Cup | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Cairo International Stadium

Al Ahly
3 - 0
Al-Ain

Abou Ali (32'), Ashour (55'), Magdi (90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al Baloushi (53'), Erik (56'), Cardoso (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Club World Cup clash between Al Ahly and Al-Ain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

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Last Game: Al Ahly 3-0 Gor Mahia
Saturday, September 21 at 5pm in CAF Champions League
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Al-Ain

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Last Game: Al-Ain 4-5 Al-Hilal
Monday, October 21 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
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We said: Al Ahly 2-1 Al-Ain

 Al Ahly have the advantage of playing this game on home soil, and this could help sway the result in their favour against an Al Ain team that are struggling so far this season, and winless in their last two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawAl-Ain
50.19% (-0.43 -0.43) 24.19% (0.173 0.17) 25.62% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.529 -0.53)46.83% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (-0.497 -0.5)69.09% (0.502 0.5)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.37 -0.37)18.69% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (-0.629 -0.63)50.05% (0.633 0.63)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)32.37% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)68.88% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 50.18%
    Al-Ain 25.62%
    Draw 24.19%
Al AhlyDrawAl-Ain
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs Al-Ain

Al Ahly
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Al-Ain
6.3%
48
rhs 2.0
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