Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Shenzhen Bao'an Stadium
Shenzhen1 - 4Shanghai Port
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qingdao Jonoon 5-0 Shenzhen
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Shanghai Port 3-1 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
We said: Shenzhen 0-3 Shanghai Port
Shenzhen's form is extremely worrying, and we are finding it very tough to predict anything other than a comfortable home success for the team at the top of the division, with Lei and Oscar likely to cause a number of problems in Sunday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 81.91%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 5.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.73%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
Result | ||
Shenzhen | Draw | Shanghai Port |
5.95% ( 0.53) | 12.15% ( 0.91) | 81.91% ( -1.43) |
Both teams to score 44.32% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.64% ( -2.36) | 33.36% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.86% ( -2.75) | 55.14% ( 2.75) |
Shenzhen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.21% ( -0.09) | 52.79% ( 0.09) |